Monday, January 09, 2023

THIS “OBEDIENT” IS GOOD FOR US


THIS “OBEDIENT” IS GOOD FOR US

Just a few days from now, the 2023 Nigeria’s presidential election will be over, the winner would have emerged also the losers.

 

MY TAKE;

As a close observer of the Nigerian electorate, elections and electoral processes over the years, I dear to say that the 2023 election will not be decided by the social medial presence and or influence, neither will the result follow the directions pointed to by social medial polls.

My above postulation is not to say that the social medial is not relevant in the electoral process or that it is not potent enough to influence electoral outcomes. Rather, it is because the bulk of the population of our electorates (actual voters, people that will stand in the sun for a whole day just to vote) are not so educated or have a huge presence on social medial, at least not yet, maybe in the next four to eight (4 - 8) year.


THE NIGERIAN CITIZEN’S VOICES ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING LOUDER AND MORE RELEVANT

One good thing about the 2023 election is that the citizen will be the winner irrespective of the party in government after the election, because;

THIS OBEDIENT MOVEMENT WILL CONSTANTLY BE A REMINDER TO THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DAY THAT THINGS ARE NO LONGER THE SAME AND THAT THEY HAVE ONLY FOUR YEARS BEFORE RETURNING TO FACE THE FIERY FIRE OF THE PEOPLE’S VITUPERATIONS ……. THAT IS, IF THEY ARE ABLE TO AVOID IT EVERY DAY OF THAT FOUR YEARS BEFORE NEXT ELECTION.

Therefore, for all intents and purposes, this “obedient” movement is a good development in the annals of Nigeria Political history.

It clearly shows that the Nigerian people especially the Youths are gradually coming out of their cocoon, they have started to show good interest in our body polity.  This is a sign that THERE IS HOPE FOR NIGERIA AFTER ALL.


REVOLUTION IS A POSSIBLE IN NIGERIA

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." (John F. Kennedy)

The 2012 “SAFE / OCCUPY NIGERIA PROTEST”, the “END SARS” imbroglios and the current “OBEDIENT” movement should teach our political elite a lesson and hopefully push them to think the citizen and serve the people, these events are a proof that revolution is possible and imminent in Nigeria, it the status quo persists.

The popular slogan “if you push the Nigerians to the wall, they will bore hole through it rather than to fight back” may not be totally true after all.

Nigerians actually possess the will power to be VERY DISOBEDIENT AND VIOLENT towards bad leadership, they can choose never to follow sheepishly when things are falling apart with a center that is no longer holding up in their responsibilities to the people.

It is becoming very clearer now that the fear of death and being afraid for our lives while our beloved Nation is being ruined by a few Cabals is an eventual invitation for doom, after all; “the man dies, in all who keep silent in the face of tyranny”.  Isn’t it?

THE YOUTHS SHOULD KEEP UP THIS MOMENTUM

As aforesaid, the obedient may not see their candidate on the presidential seat of power with the February 2023 election, but that is not to say they have lost, in reality they are the winner, because they have changed the political narratives, they have put the youths back on the political engagement and consideration table and they have made the emergence of a youthful, vibrant and very cerebral president possible for Nigeria in a few years from now.

However, we must be prepared to keep the fire burning for the next sixteen (16) years from now and this is true regardless of the winning party. Even if Peter Obi is the winner of the 2023 election the youth must need to sustain this change movement, else the political cabals will hijack the government unless they fear that it will be too risky for them to so do.

THIS IS THE ONLY WAY TO PREVENT A RETURN TO STATUS QUO AND SEE THE NIGERIA OF OUR DREAMS

THE IGBO PRECEDENCY IS POSSIBLE

It is a fact that since the Biafra war, the highest political office held by an Igbo person in Nigeria is the Vice Presidency and the Senate Presidency.

There is this general feeling that the non-emergence of a Nigerian President of Ibo ethnicity is deliberately masterminded by some sections of the Country.

Whether the above believe is true or not is yet to be scientifically proven.

However, one thing is very clear to me, the Ibos have not presented a widely acceptable candidate of a major political party at the center in a while, until Mr. Peter Obi.

The fact of Peter Obi’s popularity, acceptance and endorsements from across all geo-political divide and a wide spectrum of the Nigerian electorate, regardless of his late and crash entrance into the 2023 presidential race seems to proof that no one can or is preventing the emergence of a Nigerian President of Ibo tribe from emerging. I think, with adequate preparation, negotiations and relationship building across the Country the Ibos and any ethnic nationality in Nigeria can produce the president, do not forget that every political party’s first priority is to win the election and to look away from a candidate which can win the election for the party based on his or her ethnic background is very improbable in my view.

ANOTHER IMPORTANT FACT IS THAT THERE ARE OVER TWO HUNDRED AND FIFTY (250) ETHNIC NATIONALITIES IN NIGERIA, GROUPED INTO SIX (6) GEO-POLITICAL ZONES.

Most of these ethnic nationality and political zones are not as fortunate as the Ibos, as they are yet to produce any vice president, senate president or president and it is their fundamental human right to so do.

I will therefore enjoin the Ibo ethnic nationality and any tribe desirous of producing the President of the Nation in four to eight (4 - 8) years’ time and beyond to start preparing their candidate beginning from now and not wait until the party primaries.

You mat like Bola Ahmed Tinubu or not, he is an example of such preparations, negotiations and doggedness. Here is a man who resigned from a lucrative job to foray into politics. He immediately aligned himself with the Progressives and remain so till date, by which it means he remains in the opposition for over thirty (30) years, defiling each military and conservative government of the day, building political alliances across the zones until now. Loose or win he has made himself a potent political force of repute and THE JAGABAN OF AFRICA.

IT IS ALSO INSTRUCTIVE TO STATE HERE THAT, WE SHOULD BEGIN TO JETTISON THIS “TURN-BY-TURN”, ETHNIC, RELIGIOUS, ZONING FORMULA AND QUOTA SYSTEM OF THINGS, AND START PRIORITIZING COMPETENCE, EXPOSURES, EXPERIENCE AND TRACK RECORDS OVER OTHER CRITERIA, ELSE IN THE LONG RUN, WE STAND THE RISK OF ENTRUSTING THE MANAGEMENT OF OUR NATIONAL RESOURCES INTO THE HAND OF MEDIOCRE.

Summary:

The polling result of February 2023 presidential election in Nigeria may run contrary to social medial polls. We should prepare our minds to accept the outcome, whichever way it swings, knowing that we only have one country and that the political class and their families hardly suffers in the event of any civil disturbances.

The “safe / occupy Nigeria protest”, the “end SARS” and the “obedient” movement have achieved so many things for the nation, win or not, they have shown that the rich also cry and no one is untouchable. They have help amplify the voice of the masses, especially the youths.

They have re-introduced the youths back to the political discussion table of all the political party now and henceforth. The fact that Nigeria is not totally immune to uprising and revolution as witnessed in other nation is now very clear to our political class.

However, this vibrant political involvement on social medial must not only be sustained, it must graduate for mere social medial presence to physical presence at each ward and local governments of Nigeria, to a point where youths are becoming the ward, Council and local government chair persons.

The Ibo presidency will come naturally with adequate preparation and bridge building across the geo political zones. Mr. Peter Obi’s acceptance and popularity across the country is a testimony to the fact that no tribe or geo political zone can prevent any others from producing the president of the country. Any sellable candidate will receive massive endorsement, support and wining votes from anywhere in Nigeria regardless of his or her ethnic nationality. In the same spirit, no tribe should think they can arm-twist and harass others under any guise to vote a particular candidate of their choice into elective post.

After all each of the over two hundred and fifty (250) ethnic nationalities across the six (6) geo political zones have the constitutionally guaranteed and fundamental human right to aspire to any elective office in the land at any given time. The “turn-by-turn” politics is never enshrined in our constitution, it is just an internal political party arraignment.

Moreover, our best bet as a civilized society, is to start prioritizing skill, merit, capacity and wider acceptance over the quota system and zoning formula, else, our best resources may never be deployed for national benefit.

That being said, anybody and or ethnic nationality wising to be the President of Nigeria in the next Four (4), eight (8). Twelve (12), sixteen (16), Twenty (20), etc years from today, should start preparations now, do not wait till the party primaries.

GIVE US THE BEST CANDIDATE EARLY AND WE WILL MASSIVELY SUPPORT HIM OR HER REGARDLESS OF AGE, GENDER, RELIGION, ETHINICITY OR PARTY AFFILIATIONS.

A great example of adequate preparation, bridge building and networking across the six (6) geo political zones of the country is Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu the Jagaban of Africa.

Years ago, he purposely resigned from a secure and promising career in the oil and gas sub sector of the economy to foray into the very risky and mucky Nigeria political ecosystem.

He chooses to remain a progressive by which choice he remains in opposition until when APC, the party he helps midwife gained ascendancy eight years ago, even at that, he chooses again not to hold any political office, though he would have gotten one if he desired it.

This year it would make over thirty years that he has been building the political base for his emergence as APC flag bearer and a major contender in the 2023 presidential election.

It takes a purposeful leader and an audacious strategist to survive those days of brutal dictatorship, power drunk political gladiator and cabals and still be relevant till date.

No man should try to take that from him, sentiment apart. I will even recommend that the new political schools should start to understudy him.

God Bless Nigeria.

Thursday, January 05, 2023

Nigeria Our dear Mother Land

 Nigeria Our dear Mother Land 

... a call for attitudinal change....

Ask Not what the next President will do for Nigeria or you but ask what you can do for your dear Mother Land.

January 20, 1961, in Washington, D.C. during his presidential inauguration John F. Kennedy rightly declared “Ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country,” he challenged every American to actively contribute to the development of America. The citizens heard him and obeyed.




Fast forward sixty-two (62) years later America is still the world power and a leading light of a Nation, thanks to her citizen’s contribution to her advancement.

In contrast,

Though Nigeria national anthem boldly declares;

“Arise, O compatriots, Nigeria’s call obey. To serve our fatherland. With love and strength and faith”

I doubt if Nigerian ever hears nor care to obey this call of her mother land. Rather, it is everyone for himself, Nigeria for us all.

Or, how do you interpret these:

After the creation of Northern Nigeria and   Southern Nigeria Protectorate on 1 January 1900 the British felt that the two protectorates will do better as one is, on 1 January 1914 the nations were unified under the leadership of Sir Frederick John Dealtry Baron Lugard.

But Nigerians never felt that the unification was in their best interest, most people kicked against it, no one tries to make it work.

Everyone’s expectations were shifted towards gaining independence “once we have our independence Nigeria will be a paradise” or so our fathers thought.

So, in October 1, 1960, forty-six (46) years later Nigeria independence became a reality yet things were not as hoped, most people believed that it is due to our lack of an indigenous Constitution and so began another agitation for a Nigerian Constitution which became a reality three (3) years later on October 1, 1963.

Yes, we now have it all as a Nation, our much-anticipated accelerated development should now begin, or so they say, yet no meaningful national progress thereafter.

Most people became and overnight critic, everyone was now pointing accusing fingers at the leadership of the country, their ignorance, greediness, incompetence, corruption, wastefulness, overbearing affluence and also the parliamentary system of government imposed un us, and so on.

These are what embolden the Nigerian military personnel for coup d'état of 15 January 1966 led by Chukwuma Kaduna Nzeogwu and Emmanuel Ifeajuna during which many people were killed, including the Prime Minister of Nigeria, many senior politicians, many senior Army officers (including their wives), and sentinels on protective duty.

The coup plotters promised to make things right ……., but they never did, rather made it worst. 

THEY SET THE STAGE FOR THE PRESENT UNITARY SYSTEM OF GOVERNANCE WHERE TOO MUCH POWER IS CONCENTRATED AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL, and so began the downward slide into national distrust, disloyalty, unpatriotic, tribal bigotry, religious bigotry, government brutality and eventually the Nigerian Civil War of 6 July 1967 to 15 January 1970.

 


NIGERIANS CONTINUES IN THEIR ERRONEOUS PART OF HOPING FOR A MESSIAH WHEN IN REALITY EACH OF US ARE THE MESSIAH THE NATION NEEDS. WE CONTINUES TO POINT FINGERS AT THE OTHER PERSON, TRIBE AND GOVERNMENT AS THE CAUSE OF OUR NATIONAL WOES, necessitating the counter which began as a mutiny at roughly midnight on 28 July 1966 and was a reaction to the killings during the 15 January same year. The July mutiny or counter coup resulted in the murder of Nigeria's first military Head of State General Johnson Aguiyi-Ironsi and Lt Colonel Adekunle Fajuyi (who was hosting a visiting Aguiyi-Ironsi) in Ibadan.

So, Lt. Colonel Yakubu Gowon became the Head of State. He too promised to make Nigeria better and painted a vision of a better Nigeria ….

Since then, we have had so many unrealized promises do you remember these visions? VISSION-20:00, VISSION-20:10, VISSION-20:15, VISSION-20:20, the list never ends.

If I may remind you more, below:

  1. 1960: Dr. Nnamdi Azikiwe and Abubakar Tafawa Balewa (16 November 1960 - 1 October 1963)
  2. 1966: Major General Johnson Aguiyi-Irons and The Central Military Government / Council (16 January 1966 - 29 July 1966)
  3. 1966:  General Yakubu Gowon and The Federal Military Government / council (1 August 1966 - 29 July 1975)
  4. 1975:  General Murtala Ramat Mohammed and The Federal Military Government / council (29 July 1975 - 13 February 1976)
  5. 1976: General Olusegun Obasanjo and The Federal Military Government / council (13 February 1976 - 1 October 1979)
  6. 1979:  Alhaji Shehu Shagari and The National Party of Nigeria (1 October 1979 - 31 December 1983)
  7. 1983:  Major General Muhammadu Buhari and The Supreme Military Council (31 December 1983 - 27 August 1985)
  8. 1985:  General Ibrahim Babangida and The Armed Forces Ruling Council (27 August 1985- 26 August 1993)
  9. 1993: Chief Ernest Shonekan and the Interim National Government (26 August 1993 - 17 November 1993)
  10. 1993: General Sani Abacha and The Provisional Ruling Council (7 November 1993 - 8 June 1998)
  11. 1998: General Abdulsalami Abubakar and The Provisional Ruling Council (8 June 1998 - 29 May 1999)
  12. 1999: Chief Olusegun Obasanjo and The People's Democratic Party (29 May 1999 - 29 May 2007)
  13. 2007: Alhaji Umaru Musa Yar'Adua and The People's Democratic Party (29 May 2007 - 5 May 2010)
  14. 2010: Dr. Goodluck Jonathan and The People's Democratic Party (5 May 2010       - 29 May 2015)
  15. 2015: Muhammadu Buhari and The All-Progressives Congress (29 May 2015 till date)
  16. 2023 – February: WHICH MESSIAH ARE YOU WAITING FOR?

These leaders can not be all evil, check out their inaugural speeches, so articulate, eloquently presented and full of hope and promises like John F. Kennedy’s inaugural speech only that nothing came out of theirs because they are but ordinary men with human limitations. The task of changing Nigeria is on all her citizens and not on Mr. President and his Cabinet alone. Our problem is placing too much hope on a mere man instead of joining forces with them to move Nigeria forward.

Obviously,

WHATEVER RETROGRESSIVE NATIONAL OUTCOME WE ARE FACED WITH AT THE MOMENT, IS THE TYPICAL OUTCOME PROBABLE, WHEN OVER TWO HUNDRED MILLION (200M) CITIZENS RELIED ON LESS THAN FIVE THOUSAND PEOPLE IN GOVERNMENT TO CHANGE THE NATIONAL FORTUNES.

"ẸNÌKAN KÌÍ JẸ́ ÀWÁDÉ"

"IGI KAN KÒLE DÁGBÓ SE"

(a Yoruba adage meaning,

ONE PERSON DOES NOT MAKE THE MARKET

And;

A TREE DON'T MAKE THE FOREST)

We will see the change we desired; when:

§  The majority of us choose to be patriotic to Nigeria.

§  Majority of us choose to be productive and contributing to the National Cake with less of us are depending on government handouts and sharing formular.

§  Most of us refrains from seeing the country and government as they an we or I, because you are the country and the government.

§  All of us repent of our exploitative spirit in the market places

§  All of us sees our neighbors as our kith and kin and we become our brother’s keeper.

§  When we stop destroying our national asset at the slightest provocation.

§  We all choose to be the change we want.

This is January 2023, … many are still waiting a man to fix Nigeria for them …

We became so good at blaming the others that people that have being so long government and a day after they exist power, they immediately start blaming the new man on the job.

It so laughable that we several years later and several of our people have handled our state affairs yet many are still blaming the colonial government for our problems.  

Can we please stop waiting for Obi, Atiku of Bola Tinubu to come and fix our motherland? These are mere men; they are not gods but collectively we shall birth the change we seek.

AT THE FINAL ANALYSIS, THERE ARE TWO KINDS OF PEOPLE IN NIGERIA.

1. THE MANY PULLING HER OVER THE EDGES  and;

2. THE FEW PULLING HER AWAY FROM THE CLIFF, which group are in.

GOD BLESS NIGERIA